COVID-19 ACTUARIES RESPONSE GROUP

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Covid 19
 
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ABOUT THE GROUP

Coming together to make a difference.

On the weekend of 7-8 March 2020 this group of concerned actuaries, epidemiologists, & longevity specialists came together in response to Lombardy shutting down.

Instinctively, they knew that we face a global crisis of epic proportions, and we have to do what we can quickly, meaningfully and thoughtfully.

Tan Suee Chieh reached out to Joseph Lu, Nicola Oliver & Stuart McDonald, and together with Matthew Edwards, Adrian Pinington, Matthew Fletcher, Andrew Gaches, Dan Ryan & Adrian Baskir, the COVID-19 ARG was born.


In the first 10 weeks the group published 26 bulletins, has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, had one myth-busting bulletin published in full in The Spectator, two articles published in The Actuary and were profiled in Insurance ERM, My Pension Expert and IPE.

 
Tan Suee Chieh

President
Institute & Faculty of Actuaries

TAN SUEE CHIEH

 

HIGHLIGHTED BULLETINS

Lab Experiment

TESTING TO CONTAIN THE
SECOND WAVE THREAT

18 May 2020 | Bulletin 29

By Gordon Woo

In this bulletin, Gordon Woo discusses the role of testing in management of the pandemic, and updates us on progress with the design and roll-out of tests.


Asymptomatic transmission has been one of the biggest challenges in this pandemic. Mass testing is essential to break the ‘invisible chains’ of asymptomatic transmission. The UK’s antigen testing capacity should be up to South Korean levels by the autumn. UK antibody tests should also be widespread thanks to the new Roche and Abbott tests.


This provides grounds for optimism that R can be kept below the epidemic threshold, managing the threat of a second wave of COVID-19 infections.


The author specialises in pandemic modelling, and is well known to many as an architect of the RMS LifeRisks pandemic model.

 

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©2020 by COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group