Bulletins | COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group

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Jan 20

Vaccine Benefits

How long until vaccinations relieve pressure on hospital and intensive care patient numbers? Stuart discusses our modelling with Tim Harford

36 views

How soon will we see the benefits of the vaccine rollout?

John Roberts

Jan 15

How soon will we see the benefits of the vaccine rollout?

We will soon see a meaningful reduction in the number of cases, hospitalisations and deaths. But how soon?

7,488 views

Stuart McDonald

Jan 12

2020 Mortality in Context

It was real pleasure to support Ed Conway in putting together his detailed examination of 2020 mortality in historical context.

517 views

Why vaccinating 13.9 million people by mid-February could prevent nearly 90% of COVID deaths

Stuart McDonald

Jan 5

Why vaccinating 13.9 million people by mid-February could prevent nearly 90% of COVID deaths

We analysed deaths in 2020 where COVID-19 was mentioned on the death certificate and found that 88% were people in the top 4 priority groups

263 views

Stuart McDonald

Dec 14, 2020

Vaccine Hesitancy

Why some people have concerns about taking the new Coronavirus vaccine, and how health providers, governments and the media should respond.

84 views

Stuart McDonald

Dec 7, 2020

Vaccine Priority Order

The logistics of vaccination and the logic of the UK vaccine priority order by reference to the pattern of COVID-19 deaths to date.

177 views

Matthew Edwards

Dec 3, 2020

'Nine months later'

Presentation largely around vaccines and personal protective measures

10 views

Adrian Baskir

Nov 26, 2020

Modelling COVID: What Have We Learned?

In this webinar, co-hosted by the IAA and NoCA, four of our members share what we have learned about modelling COVID-19 in 2020.

22 views

Matthew Edwards

Nov 26, 2020

IAA Webinar - "What have we learned?"

Webinar 'what have we learned' on data, model parameters, international perspectives and communicating model results.

20 views

Stuart McDonald

Nov 20, 2020

Actuaries and the Pandemic

Joanne Meusz and Stuart McDonald discuss various ways that actuaries have been involved in the response to the pandemic.

0 views

Stuart McDonald

Nov 11, 2020

Impact of COVID-19 on Mortality

As part of Longevity Week 2020, Stuart McDonald is interviewed by David Collinson on the impact of COVID-19 on mortality.

33 views

Matthew Edwards

Oct 31, 2020

Masks: innocent until proven guilty

Matthew Edwards discusses how the issue of face masks may indicate a mistaken approach to the precautionary principle.

7 views

Matthew Edwards

Oct 13, 2020

COVID-19: Nowcasting

Matthew Edwards explains 'nowcasting' and how it relates to the Covid-19 pandemic.

0 views

Matthew Edwards

Oct 13, 2020

Following the Science

Matthew Edwards, explains what the phrase 'following the science' means in practice when used in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic.

0 views

Matthew Edwards

Oct 13, 2020

COVID-19 Heterogeneity

Matthew Edwards discusses heterogeneity and how it has shaped the response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

1 view

COVID Curve Queried, False Positives, and the Queen's Head

Stuart McDonald

Sep 22, 2020

COVID Curve Queried, False Positives, and the Queen's Head

Are we at the start of a second wave? Stuart looks at the hospital admissions data.

7 views

Hawaiian Pizza, Obesity and a Second Wave?

Stuart McDonald

Aug 11, 2020

Hawaiian Pizza, Obesity and a Second Wave?

Stuart looks at the impact of obesity on UK COVID-19 death rates, addressing a listener question "what if we weren't a nation of fatties?"

6 views

Stuart McDonald

Jun 16, 2020

Quarantine, Test and Trace and BODMAS

Is it true that COVID-19 only kills those who are already "at death's door"?

4 views

Matthew Edwards

May 6, 2020

The Co-Morbidity Question

Would the majority of COVID-19 victims have died this year anyway, as some have suggested? Matthew Edwards and Stuart McDonald investigate.

31 views

Mortality Rates Tell True Tale of Coronavirus’s Effect

Stuart McDonald

Apr 21, 2020

Mortality Rates Tell True Tale of Coronavirus’s Effect

Stuart spoke to the WSJ on excess deaths and the extent to which COVID-19 is killing those who weren't already near the end of life

5 views

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