Longer-term Mortality and Morbidity Impacts of the Pandemic
Bulletin 45 | Matthew Edwards and Andrew Gache
In addition to the short term mortality effects of the pandemic (deaths caused directly and indirectly by the coronavirus) and the medium term effects (from the impact of fewer obese people and diabetics in the surviving population, for instance), there will be many longer-term effects.
This Bulletin considers the plausible mortality and morbidity consequences in respect of economic shock, physiological impacts on ‘severe symptoms’ survivors, behavioural changes, and mental health.
We conclude that the sum total of these is likely to be material and negative, although we do not try to quantify the impact.