• Matthew Edwards

Stanford's Contrasting Fatality Estimates

22 May 2020

Bulletin 35 | By Matthew Edwards and Stuart McDonald



Over the past couple of days Stanford academics have published greatly contrasting estimates of the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of COVID-19. We briefly examine both papers and consider them in the context of other work done in this area (including our related work using Italian data). We conclude that the study by Grewelle and De Leo, with its estimate of 1.0% for the IFR globally, looks plausible and in line with much other work in this area.


Stanford's contrasting fatality estimate
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